The setup
Respondents rated 0–100 sliders in a fixed scenario: third time having sex with a new partner you like; the act hasn't been discussed beforehand. The design is asymmetric, which is the analytical gift: men's answers are beliefs about women, women's answers are ground truth (for this sample). So porn use gets tested two ways — for women, against what they actually like; for men, against miscalibration: the gap between belief and reality.
From 21,773 raw rows: removed non-cis/nonbinary respondents (the survey's branching makes their answers unanswerable-by-design), gay/lesbian respondents where detectable, repeat takers, joke ages, dropouts (<20 items), straightliners, and speeders. Two data bugs repaired: a variable written by two different questions, and duplicate-joined cell values. All adjusted results control for age, log lifetime partners, and political lean — the confounders that actually correlated with porn use (porn-using women are younger, r = −.31, and more liberal, r = +.22).
Men cluster at the top (76% several-times-a-week or more); women spread across the whole range. Among men, frequency therefore has little variance — the share of violent porn becomes the more informative variable for them.
FINDING 1Women who use porn more like kinky acts more — not everything more
Tender and communicative acts sit at ~77/100 for everyone. What porn frequency tracks is specifically the rough/degrading cluster — and the top per-item correlates read like a porn script: being called a dirty whore (+.28), pussy slapping, blowjobs, facials, light face slaps, consensual nonconsent, firm choking. The small negative end: sensual slow sex, an eager-to-please partner, explicit consent checks.
The gradient survives additionally controlling for violent-porn share (r = +.17). Earlier porn start and paying for porn also predict higher eagerness; written-vs-visual preference predicts nothing.
FINDING 2The average man underestimates women's kink — and porn frequency barely changes his beliefs
Comparing men's mean predictions against women's mean self-reports: men's dominant error is pessimism about kink, not porn-fueled optimism.
| act | women's actual mean | men's predicted mean | gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| fetish | 63.4 | 48.9 | -14.5 |
| goodgirl | 72.4 | 58.9 | -13.5 |
| smother | 46.9 | 34.6 | -12.3 |
| nonconsent | 59.3 | 47.8 | -11.5 |
| sadism | 56.7 | 46.0 | -10.7 |
| rough | 64.2 | 53.5 | -10.7 |
| loud | 78.0 | 67.4 | -10.6 |
| pregnant | 42.2 | 31.8 | -10.5 |
| tongueear | 41.5 | 44.9 | 3.4 |
| cunnilingus | 79.7 | 84.1 | 4.4 |
| silence | 23.6 | 28.5 | 4.9 |
| rimher | 45.3 | 50.5 | 5.2 |
| tickles | 28.7 | 34.3 | 5.6 |
FINDING 3Violent porn content is the strong signal — for both sexes
Women who watch mostly-violent porn rate rough acts ~70/100 vs ~45 for porn users with no violent content — and it's the only porn variable that negatively predicts liking tenderness.
FINDING 4Matched on porn use: his predictions are flat, her tastes are not
Compare men and women at the same porn-use level — the calibration that matters if people date partners with similar habits. (Porn frequency is discrete and distributed very differently by sex, so exact decile slices don't exist; below are matched frequency bins, then each level plotted at its within-sex percentile midpoint.)
| Porn level (own) | Men predict | Women actually | gap [95% CI] | n men | n women |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 47.4 | 42.6 | +4.8 [+2.7, +6.9] | 227 | 306 |
| <=Monthly | 47.4 | 48.2 | -0.8 [-2.1, +0.6] | 407 | 547 |
| ~Weekly | 47.1 | 52.7 | -5.7 [-6.6, -4.7] | 1509 | 690 |
| Several/wk | 47.6 | 56.1 | -8.5 [-9.5, -7.5] | 3895 | 421 |
| Daily+ | 49.5 | 62.2 | -12.6 [-14.3, -10.9] | 2949 | 193 |
Men's predictions barely move with their own porn use (47 → 50); women's actual liking climbs 43 → 62. So Finding 2's "men underestimate women" is entirely concentrated in the porn-matched heavy users: a non-porn man is slightly too optimistic about a non-porn woman (+4.8), while a daily+ man underestimates a daily+ woman by ~13 points.
Read it this way: a woman's porn use carries strong information about her tastes; a man's porn use carries almost none about his beliefs about women's tastes. The heaviest male users are the most wrong about their female counterparts — in the pessimistic direction.
FINDING 5Your audience vs a paid general-population panel
The dataset turned out to contain a paid Positly batch (~1,100 panelists, task pa2999018, fielded May 23–30 2023, tagged by panel-provided device/education/gender/age fields the survey never asked). They're general-population: ~50/50 gender, older (mean 41 vs 34), and much lighter porn users. 866 survived cleaning. Splitting the eagerness curve four ways — gender × audience — lets us see whether the porn gradient is a quirk of the Twitter crowd. Here the Positly lines are adjusted (reweighted to your audience's age, partner count & political lean), so the comparison isn't just "they're older"; the faint dotted lines show raw Positly for reference:
Adjustment is OLS regression standardization to your-audience covariates. We confirmed separately that the audience gap survives full demographic adjustment (~7 points residual) and holds at every age band; demographics explain only ~a quarter of it. Positly women thin out at high porn use (daily+ omitted for n<15), so the right end of their curve is noisier. See audience_split_adjusted.py.
FINDING 6Three samples, one question: how much does "who answered" matter?
To sanity-check the audience effects above, here's the porn-frequency item compared across three independent straight-cis samples who answered the word-for-word identical question (same stem, same "for the purposes of getting aroused" qualifier, same 10 options, same 0–9 coding): your sex-perspective audience, the paid Positly panel, and the Big Kink Survey (n ≈ 390k cis+straight). Frequency collapsed to Daily (8–9), Weekly (6–7), and Monthly or less (0–5).
Men
| Source | Daily % | Weekly % | Monthly or less % | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Your audience | 33.5 | 51.4 | 15.1 | 11,233 |
| Positly (raw) | 17.4 | 49.7 | 32.8 | 396 |
| Positly (adjusted) | 20.8 | 50.9 | 28.3 | 396 |
| BKS (weighted) | 41.8 | 42.5 | 15.7 | 166,274 |
| BKS (raw) | 41.3 | 42.7 | 16.0 | 166,274 |
Women
| Source | Daily % | Weekly % | Monthly or less % | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Your audience | 10.5 | 35.7 | 53.8 | 2,156 |
| Positly (raw) | 2.7 | 14.7 | 82.6 | 449 |
| Positly (adjusted) | 7.3 | 28.1 | 64.6 | 449 |
| BKS (weighted) | 16.7 | 39.9 | 43.5 | 220,359 |
| BKS (raw) | 15.6 | 41.5 | 42.9 | 220,359 |
BKS population raking weights barely move its rates (men 41.3→41.8%, women 15.6→16.7% daily). "Positly (adjusted)" is g-computation-standardized to your audience's age, partner count & politics; raw Positly is lower still (men 17%, women 3%). BKS matched to cis + straight to mirror the sex-perspective sample.
Caveats
Causality: cross-sectional — "porn shapes tastes" and "kinky people seek porn" both fit.
Range restriction: men's frequency correlations are attenuated because nearly all men are heavy users.
Item churn: some acts (firm choking, ugly insult, foreplay-duration, communication items) were added or removed mid-survey and have smaller n spanning different recruitment eras. Composites are face-validity groupings, not factor-analytic.