Chaos Factor
Relationship Survey
Sept 2026 update

Poly vs Mono, RevisitedAn updated, more careful rerun of Polyamory vs Monogamy: How Relationships Differ

The original post used about 23,000 responses and a single age control. The survey kept running. This is the same set of questions on 52,410 people, with more controls, a check on whether the poly effects are really just trans and queer people, and a few questions the first post couldn't ask.

Very mono60%
Mostly mono22%
Slightly mono3.6%
Slightly poly7.5%
Mostly poly4.2%
Very poly3.3%

n=52,410 people aged 14–80 answering about their primary relationship · Dec 2022 – Sept 2026. The survey says "poly" means any ethically open arrangement, even one you don't act on.

Short version

  1. It isn't a trans/queer effect. Trans and nonbinary people are about 3× as likely to call themselves poly (35% vs 13% of cis people), which could have faked a lot of the original results. It didn't. When you look only at cis men and women in opposite-sex couples, nearly every difference stays the same size.
  2. The U shape holds. Very mono and very poly people report the best relationships. The "slightly mono" group is still the worst on almost everything.
  3. The middle is mostly about mismatch. What predicts a bad relationship best is wanting outside partners while being in a monogamous relationship. Very mono people who say outside partners would be "essential" have the lowest flourishing of anyone on the chart (1.12 vs 1.97 for very mono people who want none).
  4. Poly relationships are shorter once you account for age. The first post said about 2 months shorter. With more data and age controls it's more like 15 months. Poly people are older, which hides this in raw averages.
  5. Poly primaries are less intertwined and less jealous. They are not sexless, but they are a bit more likely to be. 15% of very poly primaries have sex less than every few months, vs 7% of very mono.
  6. Secondary partners look great mostly because they're new. Once you account for how long the relationship has lasted, most of the gap goes away. What's left: better sex, less entanglement.

01Who took it

Everyone here was in a relationship and answered about their primary (or longest) partner. 39% are female, the median age is 29 (5% are 14–17), and 11% are trans or nonbinary. The sample is people who follow me, found the survey through the personality-test sites, or were forwarded after the Big Kink Survey. It is not a random sample of anyone, so the percentages below describe this group, not the general public.

Distribution of mono/poly identity by sex
Men and women distribute almost identically. About 15% of both sexes land on the poly side.

The groups are not otherwise alike. As you move toward poly, people get older, more likely to be trans or nonbinary, more likely to be in a same-sex couple, less religious, and more socially liberal. And of course more likely to actually have more than one partner.

Share trans/nonbinary, same-sex, multiple partners by poly level
7% of very mono people are trans or nonbinary, vs 35% of very poly people. Only 58% of "very poly" people currently have 2+ partners.

02Is it just trans and queer people?

This was the obvious worry with the original post. If trans, nonbinary, and gay/bi couples differ from straight cis couples on relationship quality for their own reasons, and they're also much more likely to be poly, then "poly vs mono" differences might just be demographic differences in disguise.

I ran every comparison three ways: raw, with a full set of controls (age, sex, own and partner's trans/nonbinary status, same-sex couple, relationship length, married, kids, religion, income, politics), and then restricted to cis men and women in opposite-sex couples only (n=43,069), with the same controls.

Very poly vs very mono effect sizes under three levels of control
Grey is the raw gap, red is the gap with full controls, blue is the gap among cis M–F couples only. If the poly effects were really a trans/queer effect, the blue dots would sit near zero. They don't.
Slightly mono vs very mono effect sizes
Same thing for the "slightly mono" group. Their deficit is almost exactly the same size in every version.

Trans and nonbinary respondents do report slightly better relationships than cis respondents at every point on the spectrum. The U shape is the same for both groups.

Flourishing by poly level, cis vs trans/nonbinary
Same shape in both groups. Non-cis n=5,705.

Controls change a few things a little. Friendship and openness shrink by a third to a half with full controls. But the cis M–F estimate is about as big as the fully controlled one, so it isn't gender identity doing the shrinking. Sex frequency flips sign: raw, very poly people have slightly less sex with their primary, but that's because they're older and in longer relationships. At the same age and length, they have slightly more.

03The U shape

"Flourishing" is the survey's overall relationship-goodness score: this relationship is good for me, it'll last, my partner helps me grow, no regrets. It's the closest thing to "how good is your relationship."

Flourishing by poly level and sex
Women report higher flourishing than men everywhere. The dip in the middle and the peak at very poly show up in both sexes.

Averages hide the shape of the distribution. The violins show everyone. The middle groups don't only have a lower average, they have a fatter bottom tail: more people who say their relationship is outright bad.

Violin plots of flourishing by poly level
Share scoring below zero (net-negative about their relationship) is printed under each violin.

04Why the middle does worst: mismatch

The poly question mixes two things: what kind of relationship you're in, and what you want. The survey also asks separately how much you'd want outside sexual or romantic experiences "in a world where your partner was fully aware and deeply okay with it." That lets us pull the two apart.

Heatmap of flourishing by poly identity and own interest in outside partners
Each cell is the average flourishing score. Blue is good, red is bad. The top right corner (very mono, but outside partners would be "essential") is the worst place on the chart. The bottom right corner (very poly, and it's essential) is one of the best.

Read across the top row: among very mono people, every step up in wanting other people goes with a worse relationship. Read across the bottom row: among very poly people, it's flat or goes the other way. Wanting other people isn't the problem. Wanting them in a relationship that doesn't allow it is.

If you control for how much people want outside partners, the "slightly mono" dip shrinks by about half (−0.35 → −0.18 points) and the very poly advantage roughly triples (+0.15 → +0.46). At the same level of desire, being poly goes with better relationships. So a lot of what looks like "the middle is bad" is mono-ish people who want out.

The same thing shows up between partners. When you and your partner want different amounts of openness, in either direction, things are worse. This holds for mono and poly people alike.

Flourishing by gap between own and partner's outside interest
"Partner's interest" is the respondent's guess, not the partner's own answer.
Own interest in outside partners by poly level
37% of very mono people want no outside experiences at all, and 13% want them "a lot" or say they're essential. 57% of very poly people say essential.
Partner's interest in outside partners by poly level
People on every point of the spectrum think their partner wants this less than they do.

05Relationship quality, one score at a time

These are the composite scores the survey reports back to people. Each one averages six agree/disagree statements (listed under each chart). Note that the survey builds some of them from overlapping items: "I am more needy than my partner" counts toward both insecurity and openness, for example. The item-level chart below avoids that problem.

Toxicity

Toxicity by poly level
Lower is better. Very poly relationships report the least fighting, fear, and judgment. Slightly mono the most.

Insecurity and jealousy

Insecurity by poly level
This is the one that's mostly a straight line rather than a U. Poly people are less jealous, and the biggest single item is "I try to stay aware of my partner's potential infidelity."

Friendship

Friendship by poly level

Openness

Openness by poly level
The largest poly advantages anywhere in the survey are on two openness items: "my partner knows all my sexual fantasies" and "we're comfortable discussing our relationship on a meta level."

Interdependence

Interdependence by poly level
The big drop is the first step: mostly mono people are already much less intertwined than very mono people. Past that it bounces around a bit. The single biggest item for very poly people: "my partner takes priority over everything else in my life."

Sexual satisfaction

Sexual satisfaction by poly level and sex
For men, it's a clear U. For women, very mono is highest and the rest of the spectrum is flat.

06Every question

Composite scores blur together items that behave differently. The first chart is the simple version: for every statement, the share of very mono and very poly people who agree with it. Cis opposite-sex couples only, no controls.

Every survey statement: percent who agree, very mono vs very poly
The biggest gaps are about openness and independence. 65% of very poly people say their partner knows all their fantasies, vs 47% of very mono people. The biggest gaps the other way are about priority and watchfulness: 54% of very mono people say their partner takes priority over everything, vs 37% of very poly people. Respect, humor, sexual satisfaction, and feeling safe are within a couple of points. With full controls, 33 of the 42 gaps move by less than 3 points.

The second chart adds the slightly mono group, the low point of the U. It uses full controls and puts everything on the same scale (standard deviations). Where very poly (red) and slightly mono (blue-grey) land on the same side of zero, the difference is about not being very mono, not about being poly. Where they split, that's the U.

Every survey statement: very poly and slightly mono compared to very mono
Top: things very poly people agree with more. Bottom: things they agree with less. Notice how the slightly mono group is worse on "will last a very long time" and "in hindsight, a bad idea." Those two items look like people who are on their way out.

07Relationship length

Raw, very mono and very poly relationships are about the same length: 6.3 and 6.5 years on average. But poly people are three years older, and older people have longer relationships. At the same age, poly relationships are shorter.

Age-adjusted relationship length by poly level
Adjusted for age, age², and sex. Mostly and very poly relationships run about 14–17 months shorter than very mono ones. The original post, with half the data and a looser model, said about 2 months.
Relationship length by age, three poly groups
The gap opens in the mid-30s and widens through the 50s. The original post saw poly relationships catch back up after 55. With twice the data, they don't.

08Age gap

Age gap by poly level
The average age gap goes from 2.4 years (very mono) to 4.4 years (very poly). With full controls it's still about 1.5 years bigger.
Age gap by relationship length

09Sex

Sex with the primary partner is about the same across the spectrum: roughly 1.5 times a week. The poly side has a slightly lower average, but that's age and relationship length. Matched on those, it's slightly higher.

Sex per week by age, three poly groups
Sex with primary by number of partners
Among poly-identified people, having more partners goes with a bit less sex with the primary. Same pattern as the original post, now with larger groups.

But the share of primaries who have basically stopped having sex does go up toward the poly end. Some poly primaries seem to have become sexless and opened up, or opened up and then stopped having sex with each other. We can't tell which from this survey.

Share of sexless primary relationships by poly level

10Body count

Median lifetime sex partners: 4 for very mono, 13 for very poly. The gap widens with age. Among people 50+, the poly median is 45, vs 8 for monogamous people.

Lifetime sex partners by age, three poly groups
Medians, because a few very large numbers pull the means around. The answer options are ranges (e.g. 6–10), so medians snap to range midpoints.

11Marriage and kids

Percent married by poly level
Percent with kids by poly level

Very mono people are the most likely to be married (33% vs 29% for very poly) and much more likely to have kids together (21% vs 13%). With full controls, very poly people are about 5 points less likely to be married and 9 points less likely to have kids. The original post said poly people had about half as many kids. That's still roughly true.

Married by relationship length
Poly people do eventually marry. They just lag behind at the same relationship length.
Kids by relationship length

12Cheating

This one wasn't in the original post. The question is "Have you or your partner ever cheated on each other?" For poly people, cheating means breaking whatever the agreement is.

Cheating by self and partner, by poly level
An inverted U. 8% of very mono people say they've cheated, vs 22–26% in the middle groups. The middle is partly made of mono relationships where someone already cheated. Very poly people cheat less than the middle but still more than very mono.

This is also a sign that the arrow goes both ways. Cheating inside a monogamous relationship might move people toward "slightly mono" or "slightly poly," rather than the label causing the cheating.

13Poly in theory vs poly in practice

42% of very poly people and 82% of slightly poly people currently have just one partner. Does it matter whether you're actually seeing other people?

Flourishing by poly identity and number of partners
For "slightly poly," having other partners goes with a worse primary relationship. For "very poly," it goes with a better one. Being committed to it seems to matter.

14Secondary partners

People with more than one partner were asked to fill out the survey again for each additional partner. 546 of those resubmissions pass the same quality filters. We can't link them to the same person's first submission, but we can compare them to the primaries of people with 2+ partners as a group.

Secondary vs primary partners, length-adjusted
The grey numbers are raw averages, and the raw gaps are big. Secondaries have much better sex (1.04 → 1.77), less entanglement, more friendship and openness. But secondaries are also much newer (3.3 years vs 8.1). The dots are the gaps after adjusting for length, and most of them shrink to zero.

What survives the length adjustment: secondaries still have better sex (+0.21) and are less intertwined (−0.27), and primaries have slightly higher flourishing (+0.14).

15Newer questions (2026 takers only)

A batch of new statements was added in 2026, so these come from a smaller group (n=3,265). The poly groups are combined because of the smaller numbers.

New 2026 statements by poly group
The biggest gap: "there are certain emotions (jealousy, boredom, resentment, attraction to others, etc.) that are not welcome in this relationship." Very mono people are split on it (+0.08). Poly people disagree (−1.07). Poly people are also less likely to use "is this normal?" as a guide, and more sure they could talk about wanting something very different.

2026 takers were also asked about mental health diagnoses. Poly people report much more ADHD and autism. Depression and anxiety are about the same.

Self-reported diagnoses by poly group
Autism: 14% of very mono vs 29% of mostly/very poly. These are self-reports of "moderate to severe" and are high across the board in this sample. I didn't control for these, since only 6% of the sample was asked.

16Methods

Cleaning

StepRemaining
All survey runs, Dec 2022 – Sept 2026142,451
Finished the survey63,962
Answered "mostly" or "fully" honestly61,709
Currently in a relationship60,823
Age 14–80, partner 14–90, length possible given both ages60,404
Took at least 2 minutes 20 seconds60,368
Partner wasn't watching them take it (this inflates scores a lot)56,132
First submission, not a repeat taker or an extra-partner resubmit52,410

Updated Oct 21, 2026. The sample now includes 14–17-year-olds (and partners as young as 14), the minimum time is 2 minutes 20 seconds instead of 3 minutes, and repeat takers who answered the 2024+ version of "Was this your first time taking the survey?" are now removed. The September version missed them. The results barely moved.

Controls

"Full controls" means an ordinary least squares regression with: age and age², sex, own trans/nonbinary status, partner's trans/nonbinary status, same-sex couple, relationship length and length², married, kids together, religion, income, and economic and social politics. Politics was only asked of 58% of respondents; missing values were filled with the median and flagged. Error bars are 95% confidence intervals with robust standard errors. Nothing is weighted. The survey has no population weights, and these are correlational comparisons within one self-selected sample.

Relationship length, marriage, and kids are partly outcomes of being poly, not just confounders. Controlling for them can hide real differences. That's why the forest plots show the raw gap too.

Fixes to the survey data

Caveats

17Better questions for the next version

A lot of the ambiguity above comes from one question doing two jobs. If the survey gets revised, these would make the poly analysis much sharper: